Ben Goertzel, AI expert and founder of SingularityNET, estimates that artificial general intelligence could arrive within three to eight years. This AI capable of competing with humans would be the starting point of technological singularity, with potentially profound changes for human society.
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Technological singularity is a concept widely explored in science fiction. The development of artificial intelligence should lead to the emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI), which would be able to understand the world as a human does. This IAG could innovate by inventing new technologies, triggering an increase in technological development. But where are we going? Towards a revolt of machines, as in Terminator Or Headquarters ? Or perhaps toward a benevolent intelligence that governs human society as in The night of times by René Barjavel or the universe of Culture by Iain M. Banks?
It won’t take long to find out, apparently. Six months ago, Ray Kurzweil had a period of 20 years, while the head of Google DeepMind he estimated it would take a decade. However, for Ben Goertzel, founder of SingularityNET, this will happen much faster.
AGI and technological singularity in just three years?
In a media interview Decryptestimated the artificial intelligence expert “ which now takes between three and eight years, thanks in part to great language models like Meta’s Llama2 and OpenAI’s GPT-4, which represent real progress “.
According to him, ” These systems have greatly increased worldwide enthusiasm for AGI, so you will have more resources, both financial and human — more smart young people want to dive in and work in AGI“.
Many companies are working toward artificial general intelligence, including OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Elon Musk’s xAI. It’s unclear at this time how the existence of AGI might affect society, but most AI experts expect profound changes. Ben Goertzel notably estimated in May that AI will represent 80% of obsolete jobsa conclusion partially shared by a Goldman-Sachs Study…